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School of Mathematics, The King's Buildings, The University of Edinburgh, Peter Guthrie Tait Road, Edinburgh, EH9 3FD; telephone: +44 (0) 131 650 5060, e-mail: C.G.G.Aitken@ed.ac.uk

 

 

 

 

 

Recent publications

2014

Wilson,A. Aitken,C.G.G., Sleeman,R. and Carter,J. The evaluation of evidence relating to traces of cocaine on banknotes. Forensic Science International, 236, 67-76; doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2013.11.011.

 

 

2015

Wilson,A. Aitken,C.G.G., Sleeman,R. and Carter,J. The evaluation of evidence for autocorrelated data in relation to traces of cocaine on banknotes. Applied Statistics, 64, 275-298; doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12073 .

 

 

2016

Taroni,F., Bozza,S., Biedermann,A. and Aitken,C.G.G. Dismissal of the illusion of uncertainty in the assessment of a likelihood ratio. Law, Probability and Risk, 15, 1-16; and rejoinder: 31-34. doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgv008 and doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgv007

 

 

2016

Biedermann,A., Taroni,F., Bozza,S. and Aitken,C.G.G. Reframing the debate: a question of probability, not of likelihood ratio. Science and Justice, 56, 392-396. doi.org/10.1016/j.scijus.2016.05.008

 

 

2017

Biedermann,A., Bozza,S., Taroni,F. and Aitken, C.G.G. The consequences of understanding expert probability reporting as a decision. Science and Justice, 57, 80-85. doi.org/10.1016/j.scijus.2016.10.005

 

 

2017

Aitken,C.G.G., Wilson,A., Sleeman,R., Morgan,B., Huish,J. Distribution of cocaine on banknotes in general circulation in England and Wales. Forensic Science International, 270, 261-266. doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2016.10.017

 

 

2017

Aitken,C.G.G.and Huang,C. Evidence evaluation for hierarchical, longitudinal, binary data using a distance measure. Statistica Applicata - Italian Journal of Applied Statistics, 27, 213-223.

 

 

2017

Biedermann,,A., Bozza,S., Taroni,F. and Aitken,C.G.G. The meaning of justified subjectivism and its role in the reconciliation of recent disagreements over forensic probabilism. Science and Justice, 57, 477-483. doi.org/10.1016/j.scijus.2017.08.005

 

 

2017

McDermott,Y. and Aitken,C.G.G. Analysis of evidence in international criminal trials using Bayesian belief networks. Law, Probability and Risk, 16, 111-129. doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgx007

 

 

2017

Aitken,C.G.G. and Nordgaard,A. Letter to the Editor – The roles of participants’ differing background information in the evaluation of evidence. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 63, 648-649. doi: 10.1111/1556-4029.13712

 

 

2018

Aitken,C.G.G., Wilson,A. aNd Sleeman,R. Statistical significance – meaningful or not. Law, Probability and Risk, 17, 157-162, https://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgy005.

 

 

2018

Taroni,F., Garbolino,P., Biedermann,A., Aitken,C.G.G. and Bozza,S. Reconciliation of subjective probabilities and frequencies in forensic science. Law, Probability and Risk. 17, 243-262. https://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgy014

 

 

2018

Aitken,C.G.G., Nordgaard,A., Taroni,F., Biedermann,A.) Commentary: Likelihood ratio as weight of forensic evidence (S.P.Lund and H.Iyer: Journal of Research of National Institute of Science and Technology, 2017) Frontiers in Genetics: Speciality Section: Statistical Genetics and Methodology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2018.00224

 

 

2018

Aitken,C.G.G., Nordgaard,A., Taroni,F., Biedermann,A. Commentary: Likelihood ratio as weight of forensic evidence (S.P.Lund and H.Iyer: Journal of Research of National Institute of Science and Technology, 2017) Frontiers in Genetics: Speciality Section: Statistical Genetics and Methodology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2018.00224

 

 

2018

Biedermann, A., Taroni, F Bozza, S., Augsburger,M., Aitken, C.G.G. Critical analysis of forensic cut-offs and legal thresholds: a coherent approach to inference and decision. Forensic Science: International, 288, 72-80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2018.04.030.

 

 

2019

Aitken,C.G.G. and Mavridis,D. Reasoning under uncertainty, Evidence-based Mental Health, 22, 44-48. Gttp://dx.doi/10.1136/ebmental-2018-300074.

 

 

 

 

Publication list

Practitioner Guide 1: Fundamentals

Practitioner Guide 2: Assessing the probative value of DNA evidence

Practitioner Guide 3: The Logic of Forensic Proof: Inferential Reasoning in Criminal Evidence and Forensic Science.

Practitioner Guide 4: Case assessment and interpretation.

Royal Statistical Society section on statistics and the law and website.

Law, Probability and Risk journal