Colin Aitken's Home Page

My School web page

	School of Mathematics, The King's Buildings, The University of Edinburgh, Peter Guthrie Tait Road, Edinburgh, EH9 3FD; telephone: +44 (0) 131 650 5060, e-mail: C.G.G.Aitken@ed.ac.uk
	Recent publications
2014	Wilson,A. Aitken,C.G.G., Sleeman,R. and Carter,J. The evaluation of evidence relating to traces of cocaine on banknotes. Forensic Science International, 236, 67-76; doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2013.11.011.
2015	Wilson,A. Aitken,C.G.G., Sleeman,R. and Carter,J. The evaluation of evidence for autocorrelated data in relation to traces of cocaine on banknotes. Applied Statistics, 64, 275-298; doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12073 .
2016	Taroni,F., Bozza,S., Biedermann,A. and Aitken,C.G.G. Dismissal of the illusion of uncertainty in the assessment of a likelihood ratio. Law, Probability and Risk, 15, 1-16; and rejoinder: 31-34. doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgv008 and doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgv007
2016	Biedermann,A., Taroni,F., Bozza,S. and Aitken,C.G.G. Reframing the debate: a question of probability, not of likelihood ratio. Science and Justice, 56, 392-396. doi.org/10.1016/j.scijus.2016.05.008
2017	Biedermann,A., Bozza,S., Taroni,F. and Aitken, C.G.G. The consequences of understanding expert probability reporting as a decision. Science and Justice, 57, 80-85. doi.org/10.1016/j.scijus.2016.10.005
2017	Aitken,C.G.G., Wilson,A., Sleeman,R., Morgan,B., Huish,J. Distribution of cocaine on banknotes in general circulation in England and Wales. Forensic Science International, 270, 261-266. doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2016.10.017
2017	Aitken,C.G.G.and Huang,C. Evidence evaluation for hierarchical, longitudinal, binary data using a distance measure. Statistica Applicata - Italian Journal of Applied Statistics, 27, 213-223.
2017	Biedermann,,A., Bozza,S., Taroni,F. and Aitken,C.G.G. The meaning of justified subjectivism and its role in the reconciliation of recent disagreements over forensic probabilism. Science and Justice, 57, 477-483. doi.org/10.1016/j.scijus.2017.08.005
2017	McDermott,Y. and Aitken,C.G.G. Analysis of evidence in international criminal trials using Bayesian belief networks. Law, Probability and Risk, 16, 111-129. doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgx007
2017	Aitken,C.G.G. and Nordgaard,A. Letter to the Editor � The roles of participants� differing background information in the evaluation of evidence. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 63, 648-649. doi: 10.1111/1556-4029.13712
2018	Aitken,C.G.G., Wilson,A. aNd Sleeman,R. Statistical significance � meaningful or not. Law, Probability and Risk, 17, 157-162, https://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgy005.
2018	Taroni,F., Garbolino,P., Biedermann,A., Aitken,C.G.G. and Bozza,S. Reconciliation of subjective probabilities and frequencies in forensic science. Law, Probability and Risk. 17, 243-262. https://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgy014
2018	Aitken,C.G.G., Nordgaard,A., Taroni,F., Biedermann,A.) Commentary: Likelihood ratio as weight of forensic evidence (S.P.Lund and H.Iyer: Journal of Research of National Institute of Science and Technology, 2017) Frontiers in Genetics: Speciality Section: Statistical Genetics and Methodology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2018.00224
2018	Aitken,C.G.G., Nordgaard,A., Taroni,F., Biedermann,A. Commentary: Likelihood ratio as weight of forensic evidence (S.P.Lund and H.Iyer: Journal of Research of National Institute of Science and Technology, 2017) Frontiers in Genetics: Speciality Section: Statistical Genetics and Methodology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2018.00224
2018	Biedermann, A., Taroni, F Bozza, S., Augsburger,M., Aitken, C.G.G. Critical analysis of forensic cut-offs and legal thresholds: a coherent approach to inference and decision. Forensic Science: International, 288, 72-80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2018.04.030.
2018	Shafer,B. and Aitken,C.G.G. Inductive, abductive and probabilistic reasoning. Handbook of legal reasoning and argumentation, Bongiovanni, G., Postema, G., Rotolo, A., Sartor, G., Valentini, C., Walton, D. (Eds.) Springer, pp. 275-313.
2019	Aitken,C.G.G. and Mavridis,D. Reasoning under uncertainty, Evidence-based Mental Health, 22, 44-48. Gttp://dx.doi/10.1136/ebmental-2018-300074.
2019	Aitken,C.G.G., Chang,Y.-T., Buzzini,P., Zadora,G. and Massonnet,G. The evaluation of evidence for microspectrophotometry data using functional data analysis. Forensic Science International. 10.1016/j.forsciint.2019.110007
2020	Aitken,C.G.G., Chang,Y.-T., Buzzini,P., Zadora,G. and Massonnet,G. Letter to the Editor in response to FSI 314 (2020) 110388. Forensic Science International, 316 (November), 110478.
2021	Aitken,C.G.G. and Taroni,F. The history of forensic statistics: a thematic perspective. Handbook of Forensic Statistics, edited by Banks, D., Kafadar,K., Kaye, D.H. and Tackett,M. Springer, pp. 3-36.
2021	Aitken,C.G.G., Taroni,F. and Bozza,S. Statistics and the evaluation of evidence for forensic scientists. John Wiley and Sons Ltd. (3rd edition, about 1200 pp.).

Publication list

Practitioner Guide 1: Fundamentals

Practitioner Guide 2: Assessing the probative value of DNA evidence

Practitioner Guide 3: The Logic of Forensic Proof: Inferential Reasoning in Criminal Evidence and Forensic Science.

Practitioner Guide 4: Case assessment and interpretation.

Royal Statistical Society section on statistics and the law and website.

Law, Probability and Risk journal