Colin Aitken's Home Page

My School web page

		School of Mathematics, The King's Buildings, The University of Edinburgh, Mayfield Road, Edinburgh, EH9 3JZ; telephone: +44 (0) 131 650 4877, fax +44 (0) 131 650 6553, e-mail: C.G.G.Aitken@ed.ac.uk
		Publications since 2001
2001		(with F. Taroni and P. Garbolino) De Finetti's subjectivism, the assessment of probabilities and the evaluation of evidence: a commentary for forensic scientists. Science and Justice, 41, 145-150.
2002		Statistical techniques and their role in evidence interpretation. In Forensic Medicine:Clinical and Pathological Aspects (J.Payne-James and A.Busuttil, Editors, Greenwich. Medical Media Ltd., pp. 755-776.
2002		(with D. Lucy) Estimation of the quantity of a drug in a consignment from measurements on a sample. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 47, 968-975.
2002		(with D. Lucy) The role of roster data and evidence of attendance in cases of suspected excess deaths in a medical context. Law, Probability and Risk, 1, 141-160.
2003		(with W.C. Thompson and F. Taroni ) How the probability of a false positive affects the value of DNA evidence. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 48, 47-54.
2003		(with F. Taroni and P. Garbolino) A graphical model for the evaluation of cross-transfer evidence in DNA profiles. Theoretical Population Biology, 63, 179-190.
2003		(with W.C. Thompson and F.Taroni) How the probability of a false positive affects the value of DNA evidence. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 48, 47-54.
2003		Conviction by probability? New Law Journal, 153, number 7090, 1153-1154.
2003		The evaluation of evidence. Australian Journal of Forensic Sciences, 35, 105-114.
2004		(with F.Taroni, A.Biedermann and P.Garbolino) A general approach to Bayesian networks for the interpretation of evidence. Forensic Science International, 139, 5-16.
2004		(with D. Lucy) Evaluation of trace evidence in the form of multivariate data. Applied Statistics, 53, 109-122; with corrigendum, 665-666.
2004		(with F.Taroni) Statistics and the evaluation of evidence for forensic scientists. John Wiley and Sons Ltd.
2005		(with F.Taroni, S. Bozza) Decision analysis in forensic science. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 50, 894-905.
2006		(with F.Taroni, P. Garbolino, A.Biedermann) Bayesian networks and probabilistic inference in forensic science. John Wiley and Sons Ltd.
2006		(with D.Lucy, G. Zadora, J.Curran) Evaluation of trace evidence for three-level multivariate data with the use of graphical models. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 50, 2571-2588.
2006		Forensic Science, Statistics. In Encyclopaedia of Statistical Sciences, John Wiley & Sons Ltd, pp 2439-2445.
2006		((with Shen,Q., Keppens,J., Schafer,B. and Lee,M.) A scenario-driven decision support system for serious crime investigation. Law, Probability and Risk, 5, 87-117.
2007		(with G. Zadora and D.Lucy) A two-level model for evidence evaluation. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 52, 412-419.
2007		(with Shen,Q., Jensen,R. and Hayes, B. ) The evaluation of evidence for exponentially distributed data. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 12, 5682-56939, (doi:10.1016/j.csda.2007.05.026).
2007		(with Ramos, D., Gonzalez-Rodriguez, J., Zadora, G., Zieba-Palus, J.) Information-theoretical comparison of likelihood ratio methods of forensic evidence evaluation. Information Assurance and Security, 2007. IAS 2007. Third International Symposium on 29-31 Aug. 2007 Page(s):411 - 416.
2008		(with Taroni,F.) Fundamentals of statistical evidence - a primer for legal professionals. International Journal of Evidence and Proof, 12, 181-207: doi:1350/ijep.12.3.296 pdf
2008		(with Biedermann,A., Taroni,F. and Bozza,S.) Analysis of sampling issues using Bayesian networks. Law, Probability and Risk, 7, 35-60: doi:10.1093/lpr/mgm041 pdf
2009		(with Mavridis,D.) Sample size determination for categorical responses. Journal of Forensic Sciences. 54,135-151 doi: 10.1111/j.1556-4029.2008.00920.x pdf
2009		Some thoughts on the role of probabilistic reasoning in the evaluation of evidence. In Criminal and environmental soil forensics (Ritz,K., Dawson,L., Miller,D. (Editors) Springer, pp. 33-47.
2009		Statistics and Forensic Science. In Handbook of Forensic Science. (Fraser,J. and Williams,R. (Editors) Willan Publishing Ltd. , UK, pp. 381 - 418
2009		Interpreting expert opinions, History of. In Wiley Encyclopaedia of Forensic Science. Jamieson,A. and Moenssens,A. (Editors) John Wiley and Sons Ltd., Chichester, UK, pp1579-1586.
2009		Sampling and estimation of quantities. In Wiley Encyclopaedia of Forensic Science. Jamieson,A. and Moenssens,A. (Editors) John Wiley and Sons Ltd., Chichester, UK, pp. 2281-2291.
2010		(with Taroni,F., Bozza,S., Garbolino,P. and Biedermann,A. ) Data analysis in forensic science: a Bayesian decision perspective, John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 367 pp.
2010		(with Zadora,G. and Neocleous,T) A two-level model for evidence evaluation in the presence of zeros. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 55, 371-384, doi:1111/j.1556-4029.2009.01316.x pdf
2010		(with Taroni,F., Bozza,S., Garbolino,P. and Biedermann,A.) Data analysis in forensic science: a decision perspective, John wiley and Sons Ltd., 354 pp., ISBN 978-0-470-99835-9.
2010		(with Roberts,P. and Jackson,G.) Fundamentals of probability and statistical evidence in criminal proceedings. Royal Statistical Society, http://www.rss.org.uk/statsandlaw pdf
2011		(with Neocleous,T. and Zadora,G.) Transformations for compositional data with zeros with an application to forensic evidence evaluation. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 109, 77-85, doi:10.1016/j.chemolab.2011.08.003 pdf