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School of Mathematics, The King's Buildings, The University of Edinburgh, Peter Guthrie Tait Road, Edinburgh, EH9 3FD; telephone: +44 (0) 131 650 5060, e-mail: C.G.G.Aitken@ed.ac.uk

 

 

 

 

 

Recent publications

2014

Wilson,A. Aitken,C.G.G., Sleeman,R. and Carter,J. The evaluation of evidence relating to traces of cocaine on banknotes. Forensic Science International, 236, 67-76; doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2013.11.011.

 

 

2015

Wilson,A. Aitken,C.G.G., Sleeman,R. and Carter,J. The evaluation of evidence for autocorrelated data in relation to traces of cocaine on banknotes. Applied Statistics, 64, 275-298; doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12073 .

 

 

2016

Taroni,F., Bozza,S., Biedermann,A. and Aitken,C.G.G. Dismissal of the illusion of uncertainty in the assessment of a likelihood ratio. Law, Probability and Risk, 15, 1-16; and rejoinder: 31-34. doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgv008 and doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgv007

 

 

2016

Biedermann,A., Taroni,F., Bozza,S. and Aitken,C.G.G. Reframing the debate: a question of probability, not of likelihood ratio. Science and Justice, 56, 392-396. doi.org/10.1016/j.scijus.2016.05.008

 

 

2017

Biedermann,A., Bozza,S., Taroni,F. and Aitken, C.G.G. The consequences of understanding expert probability reporting as a decision. Science and Justice, 57, 80-85. doi.org/10.1016/j.scijus.2016.10.005

 

 

2017

Aitken,C.G.G., Wilson,A., Sleeman,R., Morgan,B., Huish,J. Distribution of cocaine on banknotes in general circulation in England and Wales. Forensic Science International, 270, 261-266. doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2016.10.017

 

 

2017

Aitken,C.G.G.and Huang,C. Evidence evaluation for hierarchical, longitudinal, binary data using a distance measure. Statistica Applicata - Italian Journal of Applied Statistics, 27, 213-223.

 

 

2017

Biedermann,,A., Bozza,S., Taroni,F. and Aitken,C.G.G. The meaning of justified subjectivism and its role in the reconciliation of recent disagreements over forensic probabilism. Science and Justice, 57, 477-483. doi.org/10.1016/j.scijus.2017.08.005

 

 

2017

McDermott,Y. and Aitken,C.G.G. Analysis of evidence in international criminal trials using Bayesian belief networks. Law, Probability and Risk, 16, 111-129. doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgx007

 

 

2017

Aitken,C.G.G. and Nordgaard,A. Letter to the Editor � The roles of participants� differing background information in the evaluation of evidence. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 63, 648-649. doi: 10.1111/1556-4029.13712

 

 

2018

Aitken,C.G.G., Wilson,A. aNd Sleeman,R. Statistical significance � meaningful or not. Law, Probability and Risk, 17, 157-162, https://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgy005.

 

 

2018

Taroni,F., Garbolino,P., Biedermann,A., Aitken,C.G.G. and Bozza,S. Reconciliation of subjective probabilities and frequencies in forensic science. Law, Probability and Risk. 17, 243-262. https://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgy014

 

 

2018

Aitken,C.G.G., Nordgaard,A., Taroni,F., Biedermann,A.) Commentary: Likelihood ratio as weight of forensic evidence (S.P.Lund and H.Iyer: Journal of Research of National Institute of Science and Technology, 2017) Frontiers in Genetics: Speciality Section: Statistical Genetics and Methodology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2018.00224

 

 

2018

Aitken,C.G.G., Nordgaard,A., Taroni,F., Biedermann,A. Commentary: Likelihood ratio as weight of forensic evidence (S.P.Lund and H.Iyer: Journal of Research of National Institute of Science and Technology, 2017) Frontiers in Genetics: Speciality Section: Statistical Genetics and Methodology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2018.00224

 

 

2018

Biedermann, A., Taroni, F Bozza, S., Augsburger,M., Aitken, C.G.G. Critical analysis of forensic cut-offs and legal thresholds: a coherent approach to inference and decision. Forensic Science: International, 288, 72-80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forsciint.2018.04.030.

 

 

2018

Shafer,B. and Aitken,C.G.G. Inductive, abductive and probabilistic reasoning. Handbook of legal reasoning and argumentation, Bongiovanni, G., Postema, G., Rotolo, A., Sartor, G., Valentini, C., Walton, D. (Eds.) Springer, pp. 275-313.

 

 

2019

Aitken,C.G.G. and Mavridis,D. Reasoning under uncertainty, Evidence-based Mental Health, 22, 44-48. Gttp://dx.doi/10.1136/ebmental-2018-300074.

 

 

2019

Aitken,C.G.G., Chang,Y.-T., Buzzini,P., Zadora,G. and Massonnet,G. The evaluation of evidence for microspectrophotometry data using functional data analysis. Forensic Science International. 10.1016/j.forsciint.2019.110007

 

 

2020

Aitken,C.G.G., Chang,Y.-T., Buzzini,P., Zadora,G. and Massonnet,G. Letter to the Editor in response to FSI 314 (2020) 110388. Forensic Science International, 316 (November), 110478.

 

 

2021

Aitken,C.G.G. and Taroni,F. The history of forensic statistics: a thematic perspective. Handbook of Forensic Statistics, edited by Banks, D., Kafadar,K., Kaye, D.H. and Tackett,M. Springer, pp. 3-36.

 

 

2021

Aitken,C.G.G., Taroni,F. and Bozza,S. Statistics and the evaluation of evidence for forensic scientists. John Wiley and Sons Ltd. (3rd edition, about 1200 pp.).

 

 

 

 

Publication list

Practitioner Guide 1: Fundamentals

Practitioner Guide 2: Assessing the probative value of DNA evidence

Practitioner Guide 3: The Logic of Forensic Proof: Inferential Reasoning in Criminal Evidence and Forensic Science.

Practitioner Guide 4: Case assessment and interpretation.

Royal Statistical Society section on statistics and the law and website.

Law, Probability and Risk journal