Damian Clancy abstract
Damian Clancy, Mathematical and Computer Sciences, Heriot Watt University
Title: "The effects of population heterogeneities on spread of infection"
Abstract: Heterogeneities in individual infectivities, individual susceptibilities, and population mixing (assortative or dissortative) may all have effects upon infectious spread, compared to a corresponding homogeneous model. Effects of heterogeneity are considered here in terms of (i) the probability of a major outbreak; (ii) the final size of a short-lived outbreak; (iii) the endemic prevalence level if infection becomes established; and (iv) the time until eventual fade-out of infection.